Sable Offshore Corp Stock Performance

SOC Stock   9.19  0.76  9.02%   
Sable Offshore holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 1.89, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Sable Offshore will likely underperform. Use Sable Offshore Corp downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Sable Offshore Corp.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Sable Offshore Corp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, Sable Offshore exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.25)
Five Day Return
11.96
Year To Date Return
(29.75)
Ten Year Return
(15.05)
All Time Return
(15.05)
1
Acquisition by James Flores of 3000000 shares of Sable Offshore subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
2
Sable Offshore Shares Gap Up Whats Next
12/18/2025
3
Sable Offshore Trading Up 8.6 percent Should You Buy
01/14/2026
4
Sable Offshore Corp. Given Average Rating of Hold by Analysts
01/26/2026
5
Lucasys Renews SOC 1 Type II and SOC 2 Type II Certification
01/29/2026
6
Sable Offshore Is Down 5.6 percent After California Lawsuit Over Federal Oversight Shift Has The Bull Case Changed
02/02/2026
7
Magnus Technologies Strengthens Data Security and Controls with SOC 2 Type II Certification
02/03/2026
8
Accumulus Technologies Achieves SOC 2 Type 2 Attestation, HITRUST i1 Certification, and ISO 27001 Certification for the Accumulus Platform
02/05/2026
9
Sable Offshore Shares Down 5.6 percent Heres Why
02/10/2026
10
Sharetru Achieves SOC 2 Type II Certification for Fourth Consecutive Year, Expands Audit Scope
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow267.8 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-276.2 M

Sable Offshore Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  437.00  in Sable Offshore Corp on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  406.00  from holding Sable Offshore Corp or generate 92.91% return on investment over 90 days. Sable Offshore Corp is generating 1.6803% of daily returns assuming volatility of 11.6767% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, majority of equities are less volatile than Sable, and most equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sable Offshore is expected to generate 15.03 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 15.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Sable Offshore Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Sable Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.19 90 days 9.19 
about 26.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sable Offshore to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.86 (This Sable Offshore Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sable Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sable Offshore will likely underperform. Moreover Sable Offshore Corp has an alpha of 1.371, implying that it can generate a 1.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sable Offshore Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sable Offshore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sable Offshore Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.418.1319.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.1511.8323.51
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.2022.2024.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.66-0.061.10
Details

Sable Offshore Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sable Offshore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sable Offshore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sable Offshore Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sable Offshore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.89
σ
Overall volatility
2.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Sable Offshore Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sable Offshore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sable Offshore Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sable Offshore Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sable Offshore Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sable Offshore Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (629.07 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (139.11 M).
Sable Offshore Corp has about 300.38 M in cash with (187.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Sable Offshore Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sharetru Achieves SOC 2 Type II Certification for Fourth Consecutive Year, Expands Audit Scope

Sable Offshore Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sable Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sable Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sable Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments300.4 M

Sable Offshore Fundamentals Growth

Sable Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Sable Offshore, and Sable Offshore fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Sable Stock performance.

About Sable Offshore Performance

By analyzing Sable Offshore's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Sable Offshore's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Sable Offshore has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Sable Offshore has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 375.09  279.33 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.46)(0.43)
Return On Capital Employed(0.27)(0.25)
Return On Assets(0.46)(0.43)
Return On Equity(1.88)(1.79)

Things to note about Sable Offshore Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sable Offshore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Sable Offshore Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sable Offshore Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sable Offshore Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sable Offshore Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (629.07 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (139.11 M).
Sable Offshore Corp has about 300.38 M in cash with (187.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Sable Offshore Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sharetru Achieves SOC 2 Type II Certification for Fourth Consecutive Year, Expands Audit Scope
Evaluating Sable Offshore's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Sable Offshore's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Sable Offshore's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Sable Offshore's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Sable Offshore's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Sable Offshore's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Sable Offshore's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Sable Offshore's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Sable Offshore's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Sable Offshore's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Sable Offshore's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Sable Stock analysis

When running Sable Offshore's price analysis, check to measure Sable Offshore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sable Offshore is operating at the current time. Most of Sable Offshore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sable Offshore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sable Offshore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sable Offshore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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